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2025-06-02
Over the past two weeks, oil prices have consolidated in a low range. The market has been digesting a mix of Middle East geopolitical risks, expectations of increased OPEC+ output, and fluctuations in U.S. court rulings on tariffs. Although a larger-than-expected drop in EIA inventory temporarily supported prices, increasing supply pressure and concerns about economic growth have weighed on short-term price momentum, leaving oil prices without clear upward drivers.
2025-05-05
Over the past two weeks, international oil prices have dropped by approximately 9%. Market confidence was initially shaken by a shift in U.S. trade policy and concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence. Sentiment later recovered following favorable policy signals. Meanwhile, several OPEC+ countries signaled a willingness to increase output, undermining confidence in previous production cut commitments and intensifying concerns over a potential supply glut. WTI prices even briefly fell below their post-pandemic lows. Although geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran provided short-term support, the overall market remains bearish.
# Financial Products
# Investment Analysis
# fiisual lab
2025-04-21
Over the past two weeks, international oil prices have shown high volatility. The imposition of tariffs by the U.S., China, and Europe raised concerns about declining oil demand, pushing prices to recent lows. Subsequently, the U.S. announced a 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs for multiple countries, temporarily boosting market sentiment and prompting a sharp rebound in oil prices. Prices then rose further, supported by OPEC+’s announcement of compensatory production cuts, escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, and positive progress in U.S.-EU trade negotiations.
2025-04-17
Since his second inauguration, U.S. President Donald Trump has rolled out a series of tariff measures. As of April 16, 2025, his administration has announced a 90-day suspension of the reciprocal tariff policy unveiled last week. However, negotiations with China remain inconclusive, with effective tariffs on certain Chinese imports now totaling up to 245%. The article outlines a comprehensive timeline of Trump’s tariff actions since reentering office, as well as the current international structure of U.S. trade policy. Despite some reversals, Trump’s overall tariff strategy can be broadly categorized into three main segments: North American trade partners, China, and other countries.
# USA
# Taiwan
# China
# News
# Taxation
2025-04-09
On April 2, President Donald Trump announced a sweeping new trade policy: starting April 5, the U.S. will impose a 10% baseline tariff on all trade partners. Countries deemed to have unfair trade practices will face reciprocal tariffs ranging from 10% to 50%, effective April 9. Taiwan's rate is set at 32%, while China faces a staggering total tariff burden of 104%, including previously implemented levies. This article breaks down the complete tariff schedule, including region-specific rates, product exemptions, and future planned tariffs on key sectors. It also analyzes the global market response, with U.S. stocks tumbling—particularly in the energy sector—and heightened volatility across oil, gold, and other commodities amid escalating trade war fears and rising risk-off sentiment.
# Stocks
# Bonds
2025-04-07
Over the past two weeks, international crude oil prices have fallen by approximately 8–9%. Although the U.S. intensified sanctions on Venezuela and Iran—temporarily increasing supply risks and pushing oil prices upward—these gains were quickly reversed as the U.S. announced substantial tariff hikes. This triggered retaliatory measures from major trading partners, dampening global economic sentiment and weakening oil demand expectations. Simultaneously, OPEC+ announced a significant and unexpected expansion of its production plan, further aggravating the supply-demand imbalance and accelerating the drop in oil prices.
2025-03-24
Over the past two weeks, international oil prices have fluctuated under the combined influence of economic data, geopolitical tensions, and supply-side factors. Weak U.S. economic data has heightened expectations of interest rate cuts, while slower builds in crude inventories have eased supply pressures, offering support to oil prices. Rising geopolitical risks in the Middle East and the intensification of the Russia-Ukraine conflict have contributed to market volatility. Meanwhile, U.S. sanctions on Iran and OPEC+’s production cut plans have further alleviated concerns over excess supply, ultimately pushing oil prices slightly higher.
2025-03-11
TSMC CEO C.C. Wei visited the United States and held discussions with Donald Trump regarding a new round of investment plans. The visit culminated in the announcement that TSMC will launch a large-scale expansion investment in the U.S., in response to potential future tariff policies targeting semiconductors. This article outlines the current geopolitical and economic landscape, and highlights the possible implications of the investment plan: TSMC’s expansion will boost production capacity, reduce tariff-related risks, and enhance geopolitical security. However, high operational costs and pressures on talent allocation may pose challenges. For the U.S., the move will contribute to a more complete semiconductor supply chain and drive job creation. On a global scale, it marks a further shift toward regionalized supply chains. Ongoing attention will be required as the tech cold war between the U.S. and China continues to unfold.
# Manufacturing Industry
Over the past two weeks, oil prices have dropped to their lowest levels this year due to bearish economic data and OPEC+'s announcement of a scheduled production increase. Although Trump's aggressive sanctions policy led to a slight rebound in prices, policy uncertainty remains high, and the overall market is still shrouded in a bearish sentiment.
2025-02-25
Over the past two weeks, oil prices have exhibited significant volatility, driven by geopolitical risks in the Middle East and shifts in supply-demand fundamentals. U.S. sanctions on Iran and an attack on Kazakhstan’s oil pipeline fueled price increases, while rising U.S. crude inventories, progress in Russia-Ukraine peace talks, and the resumption of Iraqi oil exports exerted downward pressure. Market sentiment fluctuated between supply concerns and evolving demand dynamics, contributing to heightened uncertainty in oil price movements.
